Monday, October 20, 2014

SEC West tiebreakers

The tiebreaker for two teams tied at the top is simple: the head-to-head game. Few are familiar with the scenario in which three one-loss teams are tied at the top, with the only losses to each other. This is a very real scenario this year.

If Alabama beats Auburn and Mississippi State, and Ole Miss beats Auburn but loses to Mississippi State, then Alabama, Ole Miss, and Mississippi State will finish in this position.
The tiebreaker in this situation is the combined SEC records of the two SEC East teams that each team played.

Alabama: Florida, at Tennessee
Ole Miss: at Vanderbilt, Tennessee
Mississippi State: at Kentucky, Vanderbilt

Florida (currently 2-3, predictions below)
11/1 vs. Georgia (L)
11/8 at Vanderbilt (W)
11/15 vs. South Carolina (toss-up)
final: either 4-4 or 3-5

Tennessee (currently 0-3, predictions below)
10/25 vs. Alabama (L)
11/1 at South Carolina (L)
11/15 vs. Kentucky (L)
11/22 vs. Missouri (L)
11/29 vs. Vanderbilt (W)
final: 1-7

Vanderbilt (currently 0-4, predictions below)
10/25 at Missouri (L)
11/8 vs. Florida (L)
11/22 at Mississippi State (L)
11/29 vs. Tennessee (L)
final: 0-8

Kentucky (currently 2-2, predictions below)
10/25 vs. Mississippi State (L)
11/1 at Missouri (L)
11/8 vs. Georgia (L)
11/15 at Tennessee (W)
final: 3-5

combined records of SEC East opponents:
Alabama: 5-11 or 4-12
Ole Miss: 1-15
Mississippi State: 3-13

Alabama would win the tiebreaker.

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