Friday, October 31, 2014

How the SEC might end up with no teams in the playoffs

If all have two losses which could happen if:
Auburn beats Ole Miss,
LSU beats Alabama,
Alabama beats Mississippi State,
Auburn beats Georgia,
Alabama beats Auburn, and
Ole Miss beats Mississippi State.

If this happens, here is the five-way tiebreaker with two losses:
A. Combined head-to-head record among the tied teams.
Alabama: 2-2
Auburn: 2-2
Ole Miss: 2-2
Mississippi State: 2-2
LSU: 2-2
B. Division record. (SEC West)
Alabama: 4-2
Auburn: 4-2
Ole Miss: 4-2
Mississippi State: 4-2
LSU: 4-2
C. Head-to-head against the team within the division with the best conference record.
same as tiebreaker A.
D. Overall conference record against the other division.
Alabama: 2-0
Auburn: 2-0
Ole Miss: 2-0
Mississippi State: 2-0
LSU: 2-0
E. Combined record against all common non-divisional teams
There are none.
F. Record against the best (conf record) common non-divisional team
There is not one.
G. Combined SEC record of the team's cross-divisional opponents.
This is based on my predictions of all future SEC East games:
Because one of Auburn's cross-divisional opponents is Georgia, Auburn would win the SEC West in a five-way tiebreaker with two losses. This could result in a rematch in the SEC Championship.

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