Sunday, November 15, 2015

College Football Playoff Scenarios: Week 12

Here's how I see it:
With the best record in the Pac-12 now having two losses, things have become simple:
If the Big 10 is won by an Ohio State, Michigan State, or Iowa team who wins out, they're in.
If the ACC is won by a Clemson or UNC team who wins out, they're in.
If the Big 12 is won by an Oklahoma State or Oklahoma team who wins out, they're in.
If the SEC is won by an Alabama or Florida team who wins out, they're in.
The door is opened for Notre Dame if:
a) a team NOT listed above wins one of those four conferences (Michigan, LSU, Ole Miss, Baylor, TCU)
b) one of those four conferences' champions doesn't win out (example: Florida loses to Florida State but wins the SEC)
Let's call options a and b above "alternative results"

The door is suddenly left completely wide open, perhaps even for 2-loss teams and other chaos IF
EITHER
a) Notre Dame loses a game + a conf has alt result
OR
b) multiple conferences have alternative results

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