Memphis would require several things to go its way beyond just going undefeated, but it's definitely not out of the question for it to make the Playoff.
Most importantly, there need to be a maximum of three other undefeated teams. Let's not kid ourselves. An undefeated Memphis isn't going to beat out an undefeated team that won a Power Five conference. Memphis needs to be competing against one-loss teams for that fourth spot to have any chance. Right now, it looks like the most likely shot at this happening is if Utah and LSU are to lose, since their conferences have no other undefeated teams. However, it could really be any two of the Power Five that finish with no undefeateds.
Next, there are two rather very specific scenarios outside of Memphis's own games that I think need to happen:
Miami needs to beat Clemson
Temple needs to beat Notre Dame
The reason these need to happen is that then Memphis could claim the following:
They beat a team who beat team who beat Clemson (Memphis, Cincinnati, Miami, Clemson)
They beat a team who beat Alabama (Memphis, Ole Miss, Alabama)
They beat a team who beat Notre Dame (Memphis, Temple, Notre Dame)
They would also have three wins in October and November over ranked teams (vs. Ole Miss, at Temple, at Houston).
If all of these happen, and only three of the Power Five champions are undefeated, I don't see a way an undefeated Memphis gets left out of the College Football Playoff.
No comments:
Post a Comment