Week 18 scenarios!

 AFC

BALTIMORE (13-3)

The Ravens have clinched everything.

MIAMI (11-5)

The Dolphins have already clinched a playoff spot, and can still clinch the AFC East division title, which they can do by:

1) MIA win/tie

KANSAS CITY (10-6)

The Chiefs have already clinched the AFC West division title, and are locked into the 3 seed.

CLEVELAND (11-5)

The Browns have already clinched a wild card spot, and can clinch nothing more.

BUFFALO (10-6)

The Bills have clinched nothing but can still clinch:

a) a playoff spot and

b) the AFC East division title

The Bills can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) BUF tie OR

2) PIT loss/tie OR

3) JAX loss/tie OR

4) HOU/IND tie

The Bills can clinch a playoff spot and the AFC East division title with:

1) BUF win

JACKSONVILLE (9-7)

The Jaguars have clinched nothing but can still clinch:

a) a playoff spot and

b) the AFC South division title

The Jaguars can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) JAX tie + PIT loss/tie OR

2) PIT loss + DEN loss/tie

The Jaguars can clinch a playoff spot and the AFC South division title with:

1) JAX win OR

2) JAX tie + HOU/IND tie

INDIANAPOLIS (9-7)

The Colts have clinched nothing but can still clinch:

a) a playoff spot and

b) the AFC South division title

The Colts can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) IND win OR

2) IND tie + PIT loss/tie

The Colts can clinch a playoff spot and the AFC South division title with:

1) IND win + JAX loss/tie OR

2) IND tie + JAX loss

HOUSTON (9-7)

The Texans have clinched nothing but can still clinch:

a) a playoff spot and

b) the AFC South division title

The Texans can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) HOU win OR

2) HOU tie + JAX loss + PIT loss/tie

The Texans can clinch a playoff spot and the AFC South division title with:

1) HOU win + JAX loss/tie

PITTSBURGH (9-7)

The Steelers have clinched nothing, but can still clinch a playoff spot with:

1) PIT win + JAX loss/tie OR

2) PIT win + BUF loss OR

3) PIT win + HOU/IND tie OR

4) PIT tie + HOU/IND does not end in a tie + JAX loss OR

5) HOU/IND does not end in a tie + JAX loss + DEN win

NFC

SAN FRANCISCO (13-3)

The 49ers have clinched everything.

DALLAS (11-5)

The Cowboys have clinched a playoff spot, and can still clinch the NFC East division title with:

1) DAL win OR

2) DAL tie + PHI loss/tie OR

3) PHI loss

PHILADELPHIA (11-5)

The Eagles have clinched a playoff spot, and can still clinch the NFC East division title with:

1) PHI win + DAL loss/tie OR

2) PHI tie + DAL loss

DETROIT (11-5)

The Lions have already clinched their division and are only jostling for seeding.

The Lions can clinch the 2 seed with:

1) DET win + DAL loss/tie + PHI loss/tie OR

2) DET tie + DAL loss + PHI loss

LOS ANGELES (9-7)

The Rams have already clinched a wild card spot, and can clinch nothing more.

TAMPA BAY (8-8)

The Buccaneers have clinched nothing, but can still clinch:

a) a playoff spot and

b) the NFC South division title

The Buccaneers can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) TB tie + SEA loss + GB loss/tie

The Buccaneers can clinch a playoff spot and the NFC South division title with:

1) TB win OR

2) TB tie + NO loss/tie

NEW ORLEANS (8-8)

The Saints have clinched nothing, but can still clinch:

a) a playoff spot and

b) the NFC South division title

The Saints can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) NO win + GB loss/tie + SEA loss/tie OR

2) NO tie + GB loss + SEA loss

The Saints can clinch a playoff spot and the NFC South division title with:

1) NO win + TB loss/tie OR

2) NO tie + TB loss

ATLANTA (7-9)

The Falcons have clinched nothing, but can still clinch a playoff spot and the NFC South division title with:

1) ATL win + TB loss

GREEN BAY (8-8)

The Packers have clinched nothing, but can still clinch a playoff spot with:

1) GB win OR

2) TB loss + SEA loss + MIN loss/tie OR

3) NO loss + SEA loss + MIN loss/tie OR

4) GB tie + SEA loss/tie + NO loss/tie OR

5) GB tie + SEA tie + TB loss/tie OR

6) GB tie + SEA loss + TB tie

SEATTLE (8-8)

The Seahawks have clinched nothing, but can still clinch a playoff spot with:

1) SEA win + GB loss/tie OR

2) SEA tie + GB loss + TB loss/tie OR

3) SEA tie + GB loss + NO loss/tie

MINNESOTA (7-9)

The Vikings have clinched nothing, but can still clinch a playoff spot with:

1) MIN win + GB loss + SEA loss + TB loss OR

2) MIN win + GB loss + SEA loss + NO loss

NFC Week 18 scenarios

 PHILADELPHIA (13-3)

The Eagles have already clinched a playoff spot, and can still clinch:

a) the NFC East division title and

b) a first round bye.

The Eagles can clinch the NFC East division title with:

1) DAL loss/tie

The Eagles can clinch the NFC East division title and a first round bye with:

1) PHI win/tie OR

2) DAL loss/tie + SF loss/tie

SAN FRANCISCO (12-4)

The 49ers have already clinched:

a) a playoff spot and

b) the NFC West division title,

and can still clinch a first round bye.

The 49ers can clinch a first round bye with:

1) SF win + PHI loss

DALLAS (12-4)

The Cowboys have already clinched a playoff spot, and can still clinch:

a) the NFC East division title and

b) a first round bye.

The Cowboys can clinch the NFC East division title with:

1) DAL win + PHI loss

The Cowboys can clinch the a first round bye with:

1) DAL win + PHI loss + SF loss/tie

MINNESOTA (12-4)

The Vikings have already clinched:

a) a playoff spot and

b) the NFC North division title,

and can clinch nothing more.

TAMPA BAY (8-8)

The Buccaneers have already clinched:

a) a playoff spot and

b) the NFC South division title,

and can clinch nothing more.

NEW YORK (9-6-1)

The Giants have already clinched a playoff spot and can clinch nothing more.

GREEN BAY (8-8)

The Packers have clinched nothing but can still clinch a playoff spot with:

1) GB win

SEATTLE (8-8)

The Seahawks have clinched nothing but can still clinch a playoff spot with:

1) SEA win + GB loss/tie OR

2) SEA tie + DET tie + WAS loss/tie

DETROIT (8-8)

The Lions have clinched nothing but can still clinch a playoff spot with:

1) DET win + SEA loss/tie OR

2) DET tie + SEA loss OR

3) DET tie + SEA tie + WAS win

AFC Week 18 scenarios

 KANSAS CITY (13-3)

The Chiefs have already clinched:

a) a playoff spot,

b) the AFC West division title, and

c) one home playoff game,

and can still clinch

a) a first round bye and

b) homefield advantage throughout the playoffs.

The Chiefs can clinch a first round bye with:

1) KC win OR

2) KC tie + BUF tie OR

3) BUF loss

The Chiefs can clinch a first round bye and homefield advantage throughout the playoffs with:

1) KC win + BUF loss/tie OR

2) KC tie + BUF loss

BUFFALO (12-3)

The Bills have already clinched:

a) a playoff spot,

b) the AFC East division title, and

c) one home playoff game

and can still clinch 

a) a first round bye and homefield advantage throughout the playoffs or

b) the right to a neutral site title game*

*if BUF finishes a half game behind KC and they play each other in the title game, it would be at a neutral site.

The Bills can clinch a first round bye and homefield advantage throughout the playoffs with:

1) BUF win + KC loss

The Bills can earn the right to a neutral site title game with:

1) BUF win OR

2) BUF tie + KC tie OR

3) KC loss

CINCINNATI (11-4)

The Bengals have already clinched:

a) a playoff spot and

b) the AFC North division title

and can still clinch

a) one home playoff game and

b) the right to a neutral site title game*

*if CIN finishes a half game behind KC and they play each other in the title game, it would be at a neutral site.

The Bengals can clinch a home playoff game with:

1) CIN win/tie OR

2) winning the coin toss with BAL after losing to BAL* OR

3) LAC loss/tie

*if CIN loses to BAL in Week 18 and the teams are set to rematch the following week, a coin toss will be conducted to determine the home site of that game.

The Bengals can earn the right to a neutral site title game with:

1) CIN win + KC loss + BUF loss

BALTIMORE (10-6)

The Ravens have already clinched a playoff spot, and can still clinch a home playoff game.

The Ravens can clinch a home playoff game with:

1) BAL win + LAC win + winning the coin toss*

*if CIN loses to BAL in Week 18 and the teams are set to rematch the following week, a coin toss will be conducted to determine the home site of that game.

LOS ANGELES (10-6)

The Chargers have already clinched a playoff spot and can clinch nothing more, but their game this weekend can impact seeding, which can determine whether or not CIN/BAL is a first round matchup, which can determine whether or not a coin toss will be conducted.

NEW ENGLAND (8-8)

The Patriots have clinched nothing but can still clinch a playoff spot with:

1) NE win OR

2) NE tie + MIA loss/tie + PIT loss/tie OR

3) MIA loss + PIT loss + JAX win/tie

MIAMI (8-8)

The Dolphins have clinched nothing but can still clinch a playoff spot with:

1) MIA win + NE loss/tie OR

2) MIA tie + NE loss + PIT loss/tie

PITTSBURGH (8-8)

The Steelers have clinched nothing but can still clinch a playoff spot with:

1) PIT win + NE loss/tie + MIA loss/tie OR

2) PIT tie + NE loss + MIA loss

JACKSONVILLE (8-8)

The Jaguars have clinched nothing but can still clinch:

a) a playoff spot,

b) the AFC South division title, and

c) one home playoff game.

The Jaguars can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) NE loss + MIA loss + PIT loss

The Jaguars can clinch a playoff spot, the AFC South division title, and a home playoff game with:

1) JAX win/tie

TENNESSEE (7-9)

The Titans have clinched nothing but can still clinch:

a) a playoff spot,

b) the AFC South division title, and

c) one home playoff game, with:

1) TEN win

Week 18 scenarios

NFC

GREEN BAY (13-3)

The Packers have clinched everything.

TAMPA BAY (12-4)

The Buccaneers have clinched

a) a playoff spot and

b) the NFC South division title

and can clinch nothing more.

DALLAS (11-5)

The Cowboys have clinched

a) a playoff spot and

b) the NFC East division title

and can clinch nothing more.

LOS ANGELES (12-4)

The Rams have clinched a playoff spot,

and can still clinch the NFC West division title.

The Rams can clinch the NFC West with:

1) LAR win/tie OR

2) ARZ loss/tie

ARIZONA (11-5)

The Cardinals have clinched a playoff spot,

and can still clinch the NFC West division title.

The Cardinals can clinch the NFC West with:

1) ARZ win + LAR loss

PHILADELPHIA (9-7)

The Eagles have clinched a playoff spot and can clinch nothing more.

SAN FRANCISCO (9-7)

The 49ers have clinched nothing but can still clinch a playoff spot.

The 49ers can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) SF win/tie OR

2) NO loss/tie

NEW ORLEANS (8-8)

The Saints have clinched nothing but can still clinch a playoff spot.

The Saints can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) NO win + SF loss

-------

AFC

TENNESSEE (11-5)

The Titans have clinched

a) a playoff spot and

b) the AFC South division title

and can still clinch a first round bye.

The Titans can clinch a first round bye with:

1) TEN win OR

2) TEN tie + KC loss/tie OR

3) KC loss + CIN loss/tie + NE loss/tie OR

4) KC loss + CIN loss/tie + BUF win

KANSAS CITY (11-5)

The Chiefs have clinched

a) a playoff spot and

b) the AFC West division title

and can still clinch a first round bye.

The Chiefs can clinch a first round bye with:

1) KC win + TEN loss/tie OR

2) KC tie + TEN loss

CINCINNATI (10-6)

The Bengals have clinched

a) a playoff spot and

b) the AFC North division title

and can still clinch a first round bye.

The Bengals can clinch a first round bye with:

1) CIN win + TEN loss + KC loss + NE loss/tie OR

2) CIN win + TEN loss + KC loss + BUF win

NEW ENGLAND (10-6)

The Patriots have clinched a playoff spot and can still clinch:

a) the AFC East division title and

b) a first round bye.

The Patriots can clinch the AFC East with:

1) NE win + BUF loss/tie OR

2) NE tie + BUF loss

The Patriots can clinch a first round bye with:

1) NE win + TEN loss + KC loss + BUF loss/tie

BUFFALO (10-6)

The Bills have clinched a playoff spot,

and can still clinch the AFC East division title.

The Bills can clinch the AFC East with:

1) BUF win OR

2) BUF tie + NE tie OR

3) NE loss

INDIANAPOLIS (9-7)

The Colts have clinched nothing but can still clinch a playoff spot.

The Colts can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) IND win/tie OR

2) LAC loss + PIT/BAL tie OR

3) LAC loss + PIT loss + MIA win

LOS ANGELES (9-7)

The Chargers have clinched nothing but can still clinch a playoff spot.

The Chargers can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) LAC win/tie

LAS VEGAS (9-7)

The Raiders have clinched nothing but can still clinch a playoff spot.

The Raiders can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) LV win OR

2) LV tie + IND loss OR

3) IND loss + PIT loss/tie

PITTSBURGH (8-7-1)

The Steelers have clinched nothing but can still clinch a playoff spot.

The Steelers can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) PIT win + IND loss + LAC/LV does not end in a tie

BALTIMORE (8-8)

The Ravens have clinched nothing but can still clinch a playoff spot.

The Ravens can clinch a playoff spot with:

1) BAL win + IND loss + LAC loss + MIA loss/tie

CFP scenarios

 Here’s my overall CFP analysis:

Georgia is in.

Alabama, Michigan, and Oklahoma State all control their own destinies.

If one of them loses, Cincinnati gets in as #4. If two of them lose, Cincinnati gets in as #3 and Notre Dame as #4. If all three of them lose, Cincinnati gets in as #2, Notre Dame as #3, and Baylor as #4.

If Cincinnati loses, I think they could still get in since they’d be 12-1, especially in a sea of 2-loss teams, but if the committee is determined to eliminate Cincinnati with a loss, then I think the next team to get in after Baylor would be Oregon. If Oregon also loses, then either Ole Miss, Ohio State, or Michigan would get in as the 4 seed.

So if Alabama, Michigan, Oklahoma State, Cincinnati, and Oregon all lose, we could end up with

#1 Georgia

#2 Notre Dame

#3 Baylor

#4 Ole Miss/Michigan/Ohio State

 

Ratings comparison: Olympic trials and NBA Playoffs go head-to-head for the first time ever

Due to the delay in the NBA season, the playoffs are still ongoing and were throughout the two weeks of the Olympic trials on NBC. Normally, NBC totally dominates in the ratings these two weeks because of no other major primetime sports going on in late June, but had competition this year.

They only beat the NBA on two nights: both nights of the women's gymnastics competition. An interesting note about this is that the women's gymnastics Olympic final later this month will air the same night as the NBA Draft.

The below table will go day-by-day comparing the ratings, and also list if anything else on TV broke into the top 2 in ratings that night.

Monday, June 21, had no NBA and is therefore not included in the table.

Tuesday, June 22, Wednesday, June 23, and Thursday, June 24, had no Olympic trials and are therefore are not included in the table.

On nights with multiple NBA games, the only one listed is the one that was simultaneous to the trials.

On some trials nights with multiple sports, only one sport is listed if it was the only one simultaneous with NBA.

Day	Olympic trials	NBA Playoffs	Anything else that night in the top 2?
Sat, June 12	Sport: Diving Event: Men's Platform Final Viewership: 1.757M	Series: Jazz Clippers Game: 3 4.112M	Fox Saturday Baseball (various games) 2.377M
Sun, June 13	Sports: Swimming and Diving Events: various finals including 400 IM Viewership: 2.446M	Series: Suns Nuggets Game: 4 4.216M	60 Minutes 6.511M
Mon, June 14	Sport: Swimming Events: various finals including women's 400 free Viewership: 2.990M	Series: 76ers Hawks Game: 4 3.898M	"The Neighborhood" on CBS 3.559M
Tues, June 15	Sport: Swimming Events: various finals including 100 back Viewership: 3.027M	Series: Bucks Nets Game: 5 4.584M	America's Got Talent 4.033M
Wed, June 16	Sport: Swimming Events: various finals including women's 1500 free Viewership: 2.847M	Series: Hawks 76ers Game: 5 3.877M	"Press Your Luck" on ABC 3.205M
Thu, June 17	Sport: Swimming Events: various finals including men's 100 free Viewership: 2.427M	Series: Nets Bucks Game: 6 4.445M	"Young Sheldon" on CBS 4.093M
Fri, June 18	Sports: Swim and Track&Field Events: various finals including women's 100 free Viewership: 2.381M	Series: 76ers Hawks Game: 6 4.335M	"Blue Bloods" on CBS 3.239M
Sat, June 19	Sports: Swim and Track&Field Events: various finals including women's 100m dash Viewership: 2.857M	Series: Bucks Nets Game: 7 6.906M	none
Sun, June 20	Sports: Swim and Track&Field Events: various finals including men's 100m dash Viewership: 3.535M	Series: Hawks 76ers Game: 7 6.162M	U.S. Open 7.435M
Fri, June 25	Sport: Gymnastics Event: Women's Competition Night 1 Viewership: 4.590M	Series: Hawks Bucks Game: 2 3.702M	none
Sat, June 26	Sport: Track and Field Event: various finals including women's 200m dash Viewership: 3.202M	Series: Suns Clippers Game: 2 5.543M	none
Sun, June 27	Sport: Gymnastics Event: Women's Final Viewership: 5.752M	Series: Bucks Hawks Game: 3 5.595M	none